Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 5.516095 6.035094 6.603471 7.276222 8.056141 8.938488 10.021798
2025-02-23 4.753942 5.468005 6.312661 7.402466 8.797360 10.561249 13.026962
2025-03-02 4.155714 4.925486 5.880094 7.181778 8.962896 11.401725 15.168201
2025-03-09 3.759896 4.557469 5.582672 7.042466 9.151196 12.240356 17.458596
2025-03-16 3.483557 4.301971 5.386179 6.988711 9.417921 13.205744 20.188571
2025-03-23 3.335311 4.195047 5.368649 7.170429 10.043025 14.836987 24.610250
2025-03-30 3.096383 3.940554 5.115482 6.965054 10.016254 15.356187 27.081132
2025-04-06 2.888255 3.711914 4.877138 6.751033 9.935406 15.749760 29.429284
2025-04-13 2.707003 3.508276 4.657838 6.541242 9.826884 16.061089 31.715262
2025-04-20 2.581961 3.376951 4.535166 6.472288 9.953129 16.857329 35.608903
2025-04-27 2.525893 3.341870 4.554052 6.635925 10.524948 18.715728 43.603633
2025-05-04 2.481914 3.320964 4.591652 6.832903 11.189992 20.971968 54.762350
2025-05-11 2.388166 3.226890 4.518576 6.851175 11.552394 22.758377 66.828770
2025-05-18 2.316801 3.164314 4.494041 6.959868 12.140303 25.405273 87.196969
2025-05-25 2.194101 3.014012 4.313365 6.757898 12.013247 26.033705 98.587875
2025-06-01 2.095797 2.896636 4.179394 6.630543 12.034419 27.129491 115.744298
2025-06-08 2.019393 2.809807 4.090839 6.581384 12.230353 28.875888 143.463068
2025-06-15 1.984441 2.787356 4.110496 6.747492 12.982550 32.910367 213.487973
2025-06-22 1.896454 2.673835 3.963491 6.559746 12.804714 33.468538 247.174684
2025-06-29 1.813329 2.564763 3.818423 6.363844 12.577135 33.767531 281.898847
2025-07-06 1.736204 2.462521 3.680297 6.171560 12.332678 33.928280 319.227411
2025-07-13 1.682897 2.397720 3.605930 6.108304 12.432150 35.647123 419.717812
2025-07-20 1.663024 2.387806 3.629959 6.258373 13.159498 40.738033 798.677584